xG Match Example

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Here, we go through a match from last season shot by shot to show how xG numbers are calculated. 

League One - 29th September 2018

Shot Peterborough

8th Minute
0 Score 0
0.02 - xG - 0.00

8th Minute – J.Walker (P’boro) – 0.02 xG – Attempt
Shot from outside the box 

Big Chance Blackpool

12th Minute
0 Score 0
0.02 - xG - 0.39

12th Minute – N.Delfouneso (Blackpool) – 0.39 xG – Big Chance
A throughball in between 2 defenders puts Delfouneso through but he scuffs his shot. A good chance. 

Shot Peterborough

14th Minute
0 Score 0
0.07 - xG - 0.39

8th Minute – J.Walker (P’boro) – 0.05 xG – Attempt
Shot from just inside the box, at angle, with close defensive pressure 

Shot Peterborough

19th Minute
0 Score 0
0.13 - xG - 0.39

19th Minute – M.Maddison (P’boro) – 0.06 xG – Attempt
Attempted curl into top corner 

22nd Minute
0 Score 0
0.14 - xG - 0.40

20th Minute – M.Maddison (P’boro) – 0.01 xG – Attempt
22nd Minute – J.Thompson (Blackpool) – 0.01 xG – Attempt

A shot each from long distance, both with low chance of scoring 

GOAL Peterborough

27th Minute
1 Score 0
0.25 - xG - 0.40

27th Minute – R.Bennett (P’boro) – 0.11 xG – Goal
A long diagonal into the penalty area is met in the air by Bennett under close defensive pressure. 

Chance Blackpool

33rd Minute
1 Score 0
0.25 - xG - 0.48

33rd Minute – J.Thompson (Blackpool) – 0.08 xG – Attempt
Good position but lots of defensive pressure 

Chance Blackpool

40th Minute
1 Score 0
0.25 - xG - 0.66

41st Minute – L.Feeney (Blackpool) – 0.18 xG – Chance
From a counter attack, under defensive pressure 

Chance Blackpool

41st Minute
1 Score 0
0.25 - xG - 0.90

41st Minute – C.Tilt (Blackpool) – 0.22 xG – Chance
41st Minute – A.Gnanduillet (Blackpool) – 0.04 xG – Attempt
Combined xG of overall attack = 0.24
Header from a corner inside 6 yard box. Hits the bar and loops up back into play. Rebound a difficult looping header under pressure. 

Attempt Blackpool

42nd Minute
1 Score 0
0.25 - xG - 0.91

42nd Minute – C.Guy (Blackpool) – 0.01 xG – Attempt
Long range effort 

Chance Blackpool

43rd Minute
1 Score 0
0.25 - xG - 1.02

43rd Minute – C.Guy (Blackpool) – 0.11 xG – Attempt
Good position but lots of bodies in front 

Half Time

Attempt Blackpool

51st Minute
1 Score 0
0.25 - xG - 1.10

51st Minute – B.Heneghan (Blackpool) – 0.08 xG – Attempt
Header from a corner, under pressure. Cleared off the line. 

Attempt Blackpool

54th Minute
1 Score 0
0.25 - xG - 1.12

54th Minute – J.Thompson (Blackpool) – 0.02 xG – Attempt
Effort from distance 

Attempt Blackpool

56th Minute
1 Score 0
0.25 - xG - 1.14

56th Minute – A.Gnanduillet (Blackpool) – 0.02 xG – Attempt
Cross from out wide, header at an angle, from a fair distance out and under defensive pressure 

GOAL Blackpool

58th Minute
1 Score 1
0.25 - xG - 1.67

58th Minute – A.Gnanduillet (Blackpool) – 0.77 xG – Goal
Rolled across goal for a tap-in under strong pressure. 

Chance Peterborough

59th Minute
1 Score 1
0.39 - xG - 1.67

59th Minute – I.Toney (P’boro) – 0.14 xG – Attempt
Shot from edge of penalty area, central location 

Shot Peterborough

60th Minute
1 Score 1
0.40 - xG - 1.67

60th Minute – M.Maddison (P’boro) – 0.01 xG – Attempt
Shot from wide and from distance 

Shot Peterborough

62nd Minute
1 Score 1
0.43 - xG - 1.67

62nd Minute – C.Daniel (P’boro) – 0.03 xG – Attempt
Header from a cross 

GOAL Peterborough

64th Minute
2 Score 1
0.52 - xG - 1.67

64th Minute – M.O’Hara (P’boro) – 0.09 xG – Goal
Shot from central position, under pressure 

GOAL Blackpool

66th Minute
2 Score 2
0.52 - xG - 1.82

66th Minute – N.Delfouneso (Blackpool) – 0.15 xG – Goal
Shot from central position, with little pressure 

Attempt Blackpool

70th Minute
2 Score 2
0.52 - xG - 1.83

70th Minute – C.Guy (Blackpool) – 0.01 xG – Attempt
Cleared corner falls to central position shooter 

Big Chance Blackpool

72nd Minute
2 Score 2
0.52 - xG - 2.55

72nd Minute – J.Thompson (Blackpool) – 0.72 xG – Big Chance
Ball across goal, good location, no defensive pressure, put it wide 

Attempt Blackpool

74th Minute
2 Score 2
0.52 - xG - 2.62

74th Minute – L.Feeney (Blackpool) – 0.07 xG – Attempt
In penalty area but at angle

Chance Blackpool

77th Minute
2 Score 2
0.52 - xG - 2.76

77th Minute – A.Gnanduillet (Blackpool) – 0.14 xG – Chance
Close range header under pressure

Chance Peterborough

85th Minute
2 Score 2
0.69 - xG - 2.76

85th Minute – J.Cummings (P’boro) – 0.09 xG – Chance
85th Minute – I.Toney (P’boro) – 0.10 xG – Attempt
Combined xG of overall attack = 0.17
First shot in good position bit with high defensive pressure. Blocked by defence, ball falls to 2nd player who has very similar shot.  

Shot Peterborough

88th Minute
2 Score 2
0.71 - xG - 2.76

88th Minute – J.Ward (P’boro) – 0.02 xG – Attempt
Volley under pressure 

Shot Peterborough

90+7 Minutes
2 Score 2
0.74 - xG - 2.76

90th+7 Minutes – J.Naismith (P’boro) – 0.03 xG – Attempt
Shot from outside the box 

Full Time

Match Stats
2 - Score - 2
0.74 - xG - 2.76
12 - Shots - 16
0 - Big Chance - 3

A strong away performance from Blackpool. They created a higher quantity of chances than P’boro and a significantly higher quality of chance. P’boro scored with 2 fairly low % chances while Blackpool squandered some good chances. 

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